- Must-haves 4/5
- Boosters 1/4
Requirements: the must-haves
✓Age 24 or younger22.9 vs <=242025RB production peaks early; younger backs carry more tread and upside. · 12.6% break out with it vs 8.1% without
✓Day 1–2 draft capital (pick ≤ 100)36 vs <=1002025Draft capital predicts workload share and goal-line trust. · 17.7% break out with it vs 8.1% without
✓Touches ≥ 10 / game18.3 vs >=102025Volume is king for RB scoring, and 10 touches a game is where the breakout rate jumps. · 25.2% break out with it vs 5.5% without
✗Yards per carry ≥ 4.33.6 vs >=4.32025Efficiency at/above league average keeps a back in the game-plan. · 10.4% break out with it vs 9.4% without
✓Depth chart: the real RB1 entering the season1 vs >=12026A back who isn't even his own team's projected lead back entering the season starts from behind on touches no matter what last season's stats say: this is forward-looking projected-role context none of this rule set's other, backward-looking production stats can see. · 12% break out with it vs 7.4% without
Boosters: what raises the ceiling
✗Passing-down role: ≥ 3.5 targets / game2.6 vs >=3.52025Receiving work is the PPR difference-maker and insulates volume in game scripts. · 17.7% break out with it vs 8.9% without
✓Goal-line role: ≥ 50% of team RZ carries50 vs >=502025Goal-line work is what drives RB touchdown totals. · 37% break out with it vs 8.8% without
✗Pass protection: line top-1029 vs <=102025Pass protection, not run blocking, is the half of line play that shows up in a back's scoring: it keeps him on the field for passing downs and keeps the offense ahead of the chains. · 11.5% break out with it vs 9% without
✗Forced-missed-tackle rate ≥ 8.5%4.3 vs >=8.52025Broken tackles measure yardage a back creates independent of blocking. · 9.2% break out with it vs 8.3% without
