- Must-haves 2/3
- Boosters 4/7
Requirements: the must-haves
✓Rushing upside: ≥ 20 rush yds/game20.9 vs >=202025Designed QB rushing is the single biggest fantasy-QB differentiator; it raises both floor and ceiling. · 41.4% break out with it vs 13.8% without
✓Pass volume: ≥ 33 attempts/game36 vs >=332025Attempts compound into counting stats and TD chances. · 25.5% break out with it vs 16.1% without
✗Age 25 or younger26.5 vs <=252025The year-2/3 QB leap is real; younger arms have room to grow. · 28.8% break out with it vs 11.8% without
Boosters: what raises the ceiling
✓First-round pedigree (pick ≤ 32)12 vs <=322025Draft capital buys job security and a longer runway. · 21.5% break out with it vs 16.7% without
✓Pass-friendly / mobile-QB scheme (PROE ≥ 0)0.8 vs >=02025A scheme that throws and uses the QB's legs multiplies output.
✗Two-plus reliable pass-catchers1 vs >=22025A QB can't break out without people to throw to. Reliable means a real role and a productive one, so a spread-out offense counts as well as one built around two stars.
✗Downfield aggressiveness: average throw ≥ 7.5 yards7.3 vs >=7.52025Pushing the ball downfield raises yardage and big-play scoring.
✗Goal-line rushing role: 2+ carries inside the 51 vs >=22025Designed short-yardage runs turn into rushing TDs.
✓Pass protection: line top-103 vs <=102025Time in the pocket is what a line actually gives a quarterback. Sacks end drives, cost yardage, and cap the volume everything else is built on. · 28.9% break out with it vs 15.7% without
✓Line projected to improve: top-10 preseason rank1 vs <=10
